Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.975782e-05 0.000081 0.000092 0.000106 0.000120 0.000136 0.000153
2024-12-15 5.613080e-05 0.000071 0.000088 0.000107 0.000130 0.000156 0.000186
2024-12-22 4.498510e-05 0.000062 0.000081 0.000106 0.000135 0.000169 0.000211
2024-12-29 3.665060e-05 0.000054 0.000076 0.000104 0.000140 0.000181 0.000233
2025-01-05 2.987616e-05 0.000048 0.000071 0.000102 0.000142 0.000190 0.000252
2025-01-12 2.407419e-05 0.000042 0.000065 0.000098 0.000142 0.000197 0.000268
2025-01-19 1.909259e-05 0.000036 0.000059 0.000094 0.000141 0.000200 0.000280
2025-01-26 1.557835e-05 0.000032 0.000055 0.000091 0.000141 0.000206 0.000294
2025-02-02 1.431629e-05 0.000031 0.000056 0.000095 0.000151 0.000223 0.000323
2025-02-09 1.245900e-05 0.000029 0.000055 0.000096 0.000155 0.000234 0.000344
2025-02-16 1.240119e-05 0.000030 0.000058 0.000103 0.000170 0.000259 0.000383
2025-02-23 1.115991e-05 0.000028 0.000058 0.000105 0.000176 0.000273 0.000408
2025-03-02 8.779814e-06 0.000025 0.000054 0.000104 0.000179 0.000284 0.000434
2025-03-09 7.103733e-06 0.000023 0.000052 0.000104 0.000186 0.000301 0.000467
2025-03-16 5.406794e-06 0.000020 0.000049 0.000102 0.000188 0.000311 0.000492
2025-03-23 4.082069e-06 0.000017 0.000046 0.000100 0.000191 0.000322 0.000518
2025-03-30 2.986683e-06 0.000015 0.000043 0.000098 0.000192 0.000331 0.000542
2025-04-06 2.070740e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000095 0.000191 0.000337 0.000560
2025-04-13 1.342105e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000090 0.000188 0.000340 0.000575
2025-04-20 8.905015e-07 0.000009 0.000033 0.000088 0.000188 0.000347 0.000595
2025-04-27 7.544080e-07 0.000009 0.000033 0.000091 0.000199 0.000370 0.000640
2025-05-04 5.522146e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000092 0.000205 0.000385 0.000672
2025-05-11 5.521650e-07 0.000008 0.000035 0.000099 0.000222 0.000420 0.000734